According to data provided by Nielsen Gracenote, the host nation France is poised to significantly enhance its performance at the upcoming Paris 2024 Olympics, nearly tripling its gold medal tally from the previous Tokyo 2020 Games. The forecast suggests that France will secure 28 gold medals, along with 19 silver and eight bronze.
While France’s anticipated success is notable, the United States is expected to maintain its position at the top of the overall medal table, with a projected total of 123 medals, representing an increase of 10 from its performance in Tokyo. Key factors contributing to the United States’ success are anticipated to be athletics and swimming.
China, a dominant force in the Olympics, is projected to secure second place once again, with an estimated total of 89 medals, closely challenging the United States for the most gold medals.
Britain is forecasted to claim third place on the medal table, with 66 medals, while Australia is expected to achieve its best performance since the Athens 2004 Olympics, securing 50 medals, with significant contributions from its swimming team.
Russia, facing strained relations with the International Olympic Committee, will see its athletes competing as neutrals due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Gracenote acknowledges the challenges in predicting the performance of Russian and Belarusian athletes, as many have been absent from international competitions since February 2022. However, the forecast aims to provide an accurate reflection of the National Olympic Committees based on available data.
